Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.467983 11.612779 12.843708 14.267803 15.872657 17.628269 19.698306
2025-08-31 8.560690 10.112107 11.902125 14.129095 16.837744 20.040862 24.138419
2025-09-07 7.425950 9.242573 11.466382 14.409870 18.234644 23.078592 29.744880
2025-09-14 6.420911 8.346314 10.822815 14.277428 19.028447 25.415516 34.792474
2025-09-21 5.591981 7.541124 10.156059 13.972536 19.487311 27.301983 39.458124
2025-09-28 4.996180 6.959696 9.694118 13.849827 20.129349 29.466403 44.789830
2025-10-05 4.683655 6.726944 9.674918 14.331980 21.679426 33.129351 52.940729
2025-10-12 4.403326 6.501993 9.628915 14.747306 23.151862 36.836782 61.730333
2025-10-19 4.084253 6.180359 9.393964 14.824050 24.067570 39.731702 69.567788
2025-10-26 3.764581 5.823101 9.061257 14.692651 24.599442 42.016051 76.640869
2025-11-02 3.471473 5.478710 8.711602 14.485416 24.958396 44.015775 83.468610
2025-11-09 3.199485 5.143327 8.342793 14.199250 25.129048 45.670472 89.856409
2025-11-16 2.967675 4.860773 8.046368 14.026299 25.519082 47.855027 97.868390
2025-11-23 2.777273 4.632966 7.824116 13.965436 26.117739 50.541147 107.490129
2025-11-30 2.662494 4.526483 7.804945 14.280460 27.493012 55.007471 122.004107
2025-12-07 2.497116 4.315626 7.577347 14.167825 27.982395 57.669832 132.811256
2025-12-14 2.323707 4.075986 7.275178 13.874429 28.053092 59.419132 141.717827
2025-12-21 2.189299 3.897419 7.071737 13.756999 28.482537 62.030924 153.356882
2025-12-28 2.137519 3.869645 7.154152 14.237698 30.293938 68.142007 175.703111
2026-01-04 2.080665 3.827172 7.203103 14.651052 32.005002 74.285310 199.608812
2026-01-11 1.991748 3.715052 7.102715 14.727781 32.934091 78.618329 219.266355
2026-01-18 1.888876 3.567613 6.918139 14.597612 33.346115 81.677368 235.773846
2026-01-25 1.786728 3.414431 6.709598 14.392017 33.545691 84.202702 251.214144